Timeframe is the last 24 hours (up to ~7:12 pm EST / 00:12 GMT).
The chart includes every on-chain transaction in that window.
- Each bar shows BTC spent by coin age band (UTXO age at spend).
- PnL is realized profit/loss vs the price when each UTXO was first created.
- The pie on the right shows total realized profit vs loss for the day.
Key takeaways from today’s data:
- ~99.5% of all BTC spent came from coins younger than 1 year.
- A chunk of 1–1.5y coins realized losses, but the overwhelming majority of capitulation is from short-term holders / “tourists” dumping recent buys.
- Old coins (1.5y+) barely moved. Long-term HODLers are still largely sitting tight and stacking.
- The 180-1yr crowd growing recently is pointing to loss harvesting before 2026 to assist tax advantages. It represented about 30% of the selling at a loss by volume but was disproportionalty smaller in terms of actual loss relative to coins moved (this makes sense as coins held that long are not as much in a loss as the shorter term entrants since summer).
This is a quick snapshot from my full-node dataset. I’ll post more breakdowns like this as I keep building out the tooling.
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